Pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes: tracing the reverse route from cure to cause

Summary

This is the conceptual paper that reframed type-2 diabetes from "irreversible chronic disease" to "the result of two reinforcing fat-accumulation cycles, each of which is reversible." Roy Taylor — invited to write the paper after presenting the hypothesis at Diabetes UK's Annual Scientific Meeting — argues that excess calorie intake drives liver fat accumulation, which causes insulin resistance and overproduction of glucose by the liver, which raises insulin secretion, which drives more fat storage in the pancreas, which damages beta cells and impairs insulin secretion. The two cycles (liver fat and pancreas fat) reinforce each other, but neither is structurally permanent. Sufficient sustained negative energy balance — typically the kind achieved by very-low-calorie diets — depletes both fat depots, breaks both cycles, and restores normal glucose handling. The hypothesis predicted what the DiRECT trial (Lean 2018) and Taylor's own Counterpoint study would later demonstrate experimentally: T2D reversal is achievable through weight loss alone, in primary care, without bariatric surgery.